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Enter the closed-end fund, a relative of the traditional, open-end mutual fund. Gundlach highlighted closed-end funds on CNBC's " Closing Bell " Wednesday afternoon, noting that it's "a pretty good environment for moderate risk assets." "For retail investors, closed-end funds have gone back to trading at discounts broadly, and with some leverage involved there, there's double-digit yields available without taking a ton of credit risk," he said. Searching for discounts Drivers of these closed-end fund discounts, particularly those that hold bonds, include sharp spikes in yields. The Abrdn National Municipal Income Fund (VFL) , for instance, is trading at a 15% discount to its net asset value, according to Nuveen's CEF Connect, a database of closed-end funds.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Eaton Vance Organizations: Income Fund, Income Trust, Fidelity Locations: Eaton Vance California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation story is not accretive enough for a rate cut, says DoubleLine's Jeffrey ShermanJeffrey Sherman, DoubleLine deputy CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why the Federal Reserve will only raise rates once this year, what the Fed's moves ultimately for bonds, and more.
Persons: DoubleLine's Jeffrey Sherman Jeffrey Sherman Organizations: Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach: The base case for 2024 now is one rate cutDoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his reaction to the Fed's meeting and decision to leave rates unchanged.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach
DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Wednesday that he now sees no more than one interest rate cut this year as the Federal Reserve keeps policy tight to fight stubborn inflation. "The inflation rate clearly is the one that is lacking progress as [Jerome Powell] put it, so I'm going to lean on one rate cut," Gundlach said on CNBC's " Closing Bell." "Higher for longer … seems like the mantra continues, but without a rate hike. Treasury yields dropped to their session lows and stocks shot to session highs as Powell said the next policy move will not be a rate increase. "I think it's unlikely that the next policy rate move will be a hike.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Jerome Powell, Gundlach, Powell Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, Treasury
The US government's ballooning interest payments are eating a hole in its budget, they said. "We are headed toward record spending levels, record deficit levels, record debt levels, record interest payments — the list goes and on," Maya MacGuineas, the president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, told Fox Business this week. While the US isn't at imminent risk of that kind of chaos, bond markets could "snap back" if the government's interest payments soar to $1 trillion in 2026 as expected, Swagel said. AdvertisementHowever, she noted that some experts on Wall Street were "incredibly worried" about the national debt and interest payments. DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach has also sounded the alarm on debt payments.
Persons: , MacGuineas, Philip Swagel, Liz Truss, Swagel, bitcoin, Jim Rogers, George Soros, He's, Jeffrey Gundlach Organizations: Investors, Service, Federal Budget, Fox Business, Congressional, Office, Financial Times, Bank of, CBO, Wall, DoubleLine
Jeffrey Gundlach compared the AI-fueled boom in stocks to the dot-com bubble. DoubleLine Capital's billionaire CEO predicted sticky inflation and an economic slump. Two other market gurus, Bill Gross and John Hussman, warned of extreme stock valuations this week. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach has warned the AI-crazed stock market reminds him of the dot-com bubble — and predicted a painful mix of stubborn inflation and economic decline lies ahead.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Gross, John Hussman, Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business
Here's a roundup of recent recession warnings from six experts:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEOAdvertisementThere's a long history of investors being caught off guard by sudden downturns, Dimon told CNBC this week. AdvertisementSteve Hanke, Johns Hopkins professorThe US economy is headed for a recession if history is any indication, Hanke told Business Insider this week. AdvertisementPaul Dietrich, B. Riley Wealth Management's chief investment strategist"We're still on the path to recession," Dietrich told Business Insider in a recent interview. AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine Capital CEO"I think recession is closer than most people think," Gundlach said in a recent YouTube video.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, There's, Dimon, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's, Zentner, Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins, Hanke, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, We're, Dietrich, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, JPMorgan, CNBC, UBS, DoubleLine Locations: American, Russia, Ukraine, Israel
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Disco is backOthers have also started to compare today's market and the 1970s' "Nifty Fifty." AdvertisementJPMorgan's Chief Global Strategist Marko Kolanovic also said in a note on Wednesday that fiscal spending and inflation could resemble the 1970s landscape. Similar to the 1970s, there are currently 3 active geopolitical conflict zones – eastern Europe, Middle East, and South China Sea," Kolanovic said. Kolanovic included in his note the chart below, which shows the correlation between inflation and the performance of the S&P 500.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett, Jeffrey Gundlach, Cole Smead, Smead, Sears Roebuck, Alphabet's, Nvidia's, Microsoft's, Jeremy Siegel, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, " Rosenberg, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Bank of America's, Treasury, Nasdaq, DoubleLine, Investments, Business, Morningstar, Microsoft, Nvidia, Xerox Locations: Europe, Middle East, South China
The Leading Economic Index fell for the 22nd consecutive month in January. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The Leading Economic Index brings all of those together to gauge the future state of the economy across multiple dimensions, from growth and unemployment to consumer demand and homebuilding. Here's a screenshot showing the index's historic decline, from The Conference Board's latest release:AdvertisementThe Leading Economic Index has consistently declined ahead of previous recessions. There's no guarantee these four market veterans are right about the Leading Economic Index.
Persons: , Here's, joblessness, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Jeremy Grantham, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gary Shilling, There's Organizations: Service, Business, Conference Board, Treasury, Manufacturers, Institute, Supply, The Conference, Board, Rosenberg Research, North, DoubleLine, Conference Locations: North American
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors need to consider market repricing in fixed income market: DoubleLine's Jeffrey ShermanJeffrey Sherman, DoubleLine Capital deputy CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why there's an equity market repricing ahead, the recent spate of economic data to cross the tape, and more.
Persons: DoubleLine's Jeffrey Sherman Jeffrey Sherman Organizations: DoubleLine
So there's a totally different valuation metric now," Gundlach said at the Exchange ETF conference. The prior bull market for stocks peaked about two years ago, with the S & P 500 hitting a record high on Jan. 3, 2022. .SPX 5Y mountain The S & P 500's previous bull market rally topped out in early 2022. Gundlach also said he would allocate 10% or so in real assets, such as gold. Gundlach has warned repeatedly that a soft landing or " goldilocks " outcome for the U.S. economy is unlikely.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, DoubleLine, Morgan Stanley, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Exchange ETF, CNBC, Tesla, Vanguard, Berkshire Locations: Japan, India, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch the Closing Bell market panel's reaction to January's hot CPI reportSoFi's Liz Young, DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach and Wells Fargo's Sameer Samana, join 'Closing Bell' to react to stocks tumbling on the hot CPI report and what it means for the market.
Persons: Liz Young, DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach, Wells, Sameer Samana Organizations: Bell
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe CPI report came back to bite the Fed, says DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey GundlachJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine CEO, joins 'Closing Bell' to react to stocks tumbling on the hotter-than-expected CPI report.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach Jeffrey Gundlach
As China's property market and deflation woes continue to rattle investors, India's growth outlook appears all the more impressive. Last year's annual report attributed strong revenue growth partially to expansion in the Middle East, India, and Asia, Krishna wrote. "More than revenue, India is an important area for sourcing talent" as well, Krishna wrote. Growth potential For investors looking to gain exposure to the domestic stock market, Indian equities themselves aren't especially cheap though. "You're paying for the growth potential in India, certainly.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Ahya, Bernstein, , Narendra Modi, Bill Fitzpatrick, Fitzpatrick, Quincy Krosby, Venu Krishna, Aecom, Krishna, Tim Long, Long, Simon Coles, Krosby, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, CNBC's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investment, Logan Capital Management, Modi, Infrastructure Pipeline, Aecom, Barclays, Cisco Systems, Juniper Networks, India —, Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Qualcomm, Logan Capital Locations: India, China, Asia, Philadelphia, South Carolina . U.S, Dallas, East, Asia Pacific, Japan, Coles , U.S, U.S, IShares
DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach believes the Federal Reserve poured cold water on hopes for a "Goldilocks" economic scenario benefiting risk assets, and the bond king stuck to his call for a likely recession this year. "When I hear the word 'goldilocks,' I get nervous," Gundlach said Wednesday on CNBC's "Closing Bell." But Gundlach believes the market's faith was blindly optimistic and that Powell's message on Wednesday crushed the "Goldilocks" theory. "I think you want cash to be able to get into emerging market trade once the economy slows and perhaps goes into recession," Gundlach said. If we go into the United States recession, I think we will see a buying opportunity and you want cash for that."
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Jay Powell, Jerome Powell, Stocks, Powell Organizations: DoubleLine, Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, CNBC PRO Locations: United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach: Risk to economic growth could build as we move into this yearDoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market reaction to the first FOMC meeting of the year, why the Fed left interest rates unchanged, and more.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at why this is such a big week for the stock market . The big storyA week to rememberThree trends in the stock market are bound to vault equities higher in 2024, Wall Street strategists say. Getty ImagesWe're less than a month into 2024, but this week could determine the market's trajectory for the rest of the year. Tim Cook AppleThe information overload comes amid an uncertain time for Big Tech and the broader stock market.
Persons: , Netflix's, it's, Matthew Fox, Jerome Powell's, Tim Cook, Tesla, haven't, we'll, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Read, Jamie Dimon, Larry Downing, Jennifer Piepszak, Marianne Lake, Troy Rohrbaugh, Jeffrey Gundlach, Buckle, Mohamed El, isn't, Erian, Lyra, Maven, Tyler Le, Liquidators, Max Organizations: Service, Business, Wall, Big Tech, Microsoft, Fed, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Google, optimist, JPMorgan, DoubleLine, Prime, Comcast, Warner Bros, Lyra Health, Hong, Alaska Airlines Locations: India, Japan, Hong Kong, China, Alaska
Jeffrey Gundlach says the S&P 500 is a bad bet now and the Magnificent Seven will probably falter. Gundlach expects inflation, interest rates, and unemployment to be higher than most expect. "Rich enough for sure is the S&P 500. It's going to be hard to sustain that double top in the S&P 500 with this type of expectation of earnings growth." So in the next recession, interest rates are not going to fall precipitously."
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, , Rich, We've, we're, We're, They've, Gundlach Organizations: Service, DoubleLine
DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Tuesday that he sees the chance of a severe recession coming in 2024 and that the S & P 500 , possibly in anticipation, may be forming a particularly bearish technical trading pattern. Other than the yield curve, Gundlach said leading economic indicators have been flashing contractionary signals for a long time, especially manufacturing. Gundlach pointed out that the S & P 500 has almost returned to its record level set in January 2022, forming a "double top" price chart. At the end of 2023, after a 24% rally, the S & P 500 was less than 1% from its all-time high of 4796.56 reached in January 2022. Gundlach said the greenback is losing its momentum and the S & P 500 should underperform its international counterparts in the next recession.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Carter, We're, we've Organizations: DoubleLine
Right now, it's up 7.7% year-over-year and continues to rise, prompting Kantrowitz to say it's a "huge red flag for me." Still, while the unemployment rate is up to 3.9% from its 3.4% low earlier this year, unemployment claims have not spiked meaningfully. Piper Sandler"Regarding employment – I see enough data that has me convinced that we are at the very onset of a recession right now," Kantrowitz said. If the unemployment rate continues to tick upward, even slightly, it will likely trigger the Sahm rule mentioned above. Plenty of market onlookers see a recession in 2024, including DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffery Gundlach and Citadel founder Ken Griffin.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Sahm's, It's, Claudia Sahm, Jon Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger, Jeffery Gundlach, Ken Griffin, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Federal, Business, Institute for Supply Management's, Investor, Federal Reserve, National Federal, Independent, Treasury, Conference, DoubleLine Capital, Citadel, Bank of America
High interest rates could slow consumer spending and lead to layoffs. Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates 10 consecutive times to fight inflation as the country emerged from its pandemic recovery. Here's how experts are feeling about the economy headed into the new year, and whether they think a recession is on the horizon. Some think a recession is likely in 2024Some experts predict high interest rates will take a toll on the economy, making a recession likely sometime next year. AdvertisementOthers think a recession is unlikely in 2024Other experts don't see a recession hitting the US economy in the next year.
Persons: , Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, he's, Ken Griffin, we're, Griffin, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, Marc Lasry, Lasry, Rob Arnott, Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Adams, Raphael Bostic, Brian Moynihan, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Goldman, Hatzius Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Citadel, UBS, Capital, National Bureau of Economic Research, CNBC, DoubleLine, Comerica Bank, Atlanta Federal Reserve, UCLA, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: United States, Dallas, Atlanta
Jeffrey Sherman touted bonds over stocks and flagged signs of weakness in the US economy. DoubleLine's deputy chief investor told Insider the Federal Reserve is an "enemy to everything." NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementBonds are more enticing than stocks, the US economy is showing cracks, and the Federal Reserve is an enemy to investors, according to Jeffrey Sherman. He warned investors against trusting the central bank to balance inflation and growth while also shoring up asset prices.
Persons: Jeffrey Sherman, Sherman, , Jeffrey Gundlach's, TCW, scrambles Organizations: Reserve, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank, Fed
AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US economy is clearly headed toward a recession, veteran bond investor Jeff Gundlach has warned. "The shape of the yield curve is extremely unstable at this time," Gundlach told CNBC's "Closing Bell". AdvertisementAdvertisementRecessions typically happen when the yield curve de-inverts after being inverted for around a year, Gundlach noted. The US Treasury bond curve inverted back in mid-2022, but has pared much of that move since the middle of this year. AdvertisementAdvertisement"I really believe that layoffs are coming," Gundlach told CNBC.
Persons: Jeff Gundlach, , Gundlach, CNBC's, what's, October's Organizations: DoubleLine, Service, US Treasury, Big Tech, CNBC
Jeffrey Gundlach sees an economic downturn on the horizon, but he also sees an opportunity emerging for income investors. Gundlach, founder of DoubleLine Capital, sees interest rates falling as the U.S. economy moves into a recession in the first part of 2024 . However, investors seeking income may do well to step out a little further on the yield curve, rather than hiding in 6-month Treasury bills and cash-like investments. Investors in holdings that are too short-dated may find themselves exposed to reinvestment risk as rates decline. He said investors could buy "the entire yield curve at this point."
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach, Stanley Druckenmiller's Organizations: DoubleLine Locations: U.S
Layoffs are coming, warns DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLayoffs are coming, warns DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey GundlachJosh Brown, Ritholtz Wealth, and Jeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine CEO, join 'Closing Bell' with reaction to today's Fed meeting and the market reaction to Fed Chair Powell.
Persons: Jeffrey Gundlach Josh Brown, Jeffrey Gundlach, Powell Organizations: Fed
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